A reduction in the unemployment rate will tend to cause which of the following?

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Abstract

This article employs a recently developed time-series econometric technique to examine the magnitude and persistence of unanticipated changes in real output on unemployment rates by race and gender. Through the use of generalized impulse response analysis, we measure the extent to which the behavior of unemployment rates of white males, black males, black females, and white females differ in response to real output shocks. The results suggest that, while real output growth reduces the unemployment rate of all demographic groups, the effect is larger and more persistent for blacks than whites and for males than for females. The findings are particularly important for understanding the demographic impacts of policy initiatives aimed at inducing changes in real output growth.

Journal Information

The Southern Economic Journal features original, refereed scholarly articles in all areas of economics as well as contributions on the pedagogy of economics. The journal also contains occasional invited papers such as the Distinguished Guest Lecture, and the Presidential Address from the annual conference of the Southern Economic Association (SEA). In addition, the journal serves members of SEA and other readers interested in economics through the publication of book reviews, and announcements. The Southern Economic Journal has been published quarterly by the Southern Economic Association since its inception in 1933, and currently contains approximately 1,000 printed pages per year.

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The Southern Economic Association (SEA) was founded in 1927 to further the education of scholars and the public in economic affairs. Toward this end, the organization seeks to stimulate interest in and disseminate results of recent research in theory, policy making, business practices, and regulation. Currently, SEA has approximately 1,000 members worldwide, and more than 1,000 additional institutional subscribers to the journal. The Association holds its annual conference meetings in November, and publishes quarterly the Southern Economic Journal.

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